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  title-UBS Investment Research  - Daily round-up


Thursday 28 August 2008 - Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

Presented by Paul Donovan


+ The WSJ reports that the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation may have to borrow from the Treasury, in order to deal with a cash flow crisis created by the number of US bank failures. It has had to borrow money in the past (during the S&L crisis).


+ One insolvency expert is warning that 300 small US banks may fail in the next 3 years. The tightening credit environment is one reason why the Fed does not consider its current policy stance to be especially accommodative. .


+ German inflation figures start to emerge from the various states today. We expect the preliminary German CPI reading to rise to 3.6% yoy - as base effects and commodities have a last upwards impact on inflation rates, and offset the weakening growth.


+ Australia saw very weak second quarter construction data released (-2.6% qoq, against market hopes for an increase). This gives downside risk to second quarter growth.


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